Oct 29Thursday
S&P 500 ETF772.31▲+0.3%Nasdaq26,549.85▲+0.3%PHLX Semis11,684.00▲+1.8%
S&P 500 ETF ▲+0.3%Nasdaq ▲+0.3%PHLX Semis ▲+1.8%
ResearchNumbers checked№ 0021

A new model quietly joined Arena. Does its tone match? Don't judge it from one or two rounds.

The codename does not show which company made the model, and Arena is a blind test, so judging its style depends on what you ask it.

  1. 01What happened
  2. 02What it can be used for
  3. 03In short
@leo114119· 10-29 · 1 min read
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BusinessNumbers checked№ 0020

Oppenheimer Sets First $205 Price Target on AeroVironment, About 74% Above Close

In the same month, brokers set $AVAV price targets anywhere from $165 to $237, a gap wide enough to take a closer look.

▼ AVAV −0.6%
  1. 01What happened
  2. 02Key numbers
Chokepoint research· 10-28 · 1 min read
BusinessNumbers checked№ 0017

Don't Only Watch the Total Margin Balance. Tomorrow, Watch Net Financing Repayment.

The total amount borrowed to trade stocks can be misleading, while repayment activity shows whether anyone is being forced to sell.

  1. 01What Happened
  2. 02How to Read Margin Data
@tuolaji2024· 10-27 · 1 min read
Deep diveNumbers checked№ 0016

Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) Reposts a Citi Line: Lasers and Optical Fiber Are Being Treated as the Next HBM

I went through the latest quarterly reports of the four laser companies Serenity mentions most, and revenue is surging at all four, but one company's books made me pause.

▲ MU +5.9%▲ LITE +5.5%▲ COHR +1.6%▲ AAOI +6.8%▲ AXTI +10.6%
  1. 01Lumentum $LITE
  2. 02Coherent $COHR
Chokepoint research· 10-26 · 2 min read
BusinessNumbers checked№ 0015

Anthropic model token volume on OpenRouter rose 3.6x after Opus 5.5 launched

This number shows that people are using it, but it comes from only one platform. It cannot be taken as direct evidence of Anthropic's total usage or reputation.

  1. 01What happened
  2. 02Key numbers
@kimmonismus· 10-26 · 1 min read
Deep diveNumbers checked№ 0014

Micron's last quarter revenue was $54.23B, more than TSMC's $46.72B

Micron's gross margin was 86.8%, 20 points above TSMC, and I checked four upstream companies' quarterly reports since late September to see where AI spending is landing, using only figures the companies disclosed themselves.

▲ MU +5.9%▲ TSM +0.6%▼ GEV −1.9%▲ ASML +1.7%
  1. 01Memory
  2. 02Foundry
Chokepoint research· 10-25 · 2 min read
BusinessNumbers checked№ 0013

Meta's Five-Year Default Insurance Price Hits a Record High, Latest at 114.5 bps

The price of this insurance has hit a record, which shows the market is more worried than ever about whether a big company can pay back its debt.

▼ META −1.2%
  1. 01What happened
  2. 02Key numbers
@DeItaone· 10-22 · 1 min read
BusinessNumbers checked№ 0012

AeroVironment's LOCUST laser weapon wins its first overseas commercial order, worth $52 million

A foreign buyer has placed an order for a laser weapon for the first time. This shows that this type of equipment is moving toward commercial sale, not just staying in development.

▼ AVAV −0.6%
  1. 01What happened
  2. 02Key numbers
Chokepoint research· 10-22 · 1 min read
LaunchNumbers checked№ 0011

One Prompt From Jensen Lets the Agent Set Itself Up

Setting up an AI assistant used to mean configuring it step by step by hand. This demo shows that the setup can be handed to AI, which is a signal for people who want to start using agents.

▼ NVDA −1.2%
  1. 01What happened
  2. 02How it was done
@NousResearch· 10-22 · 1 min read
LaunchNumbers checked№ 0010

Compute can go live as soon as 14 days after the data center is built

Nvidia pre-builds and tests DSX POD before delivery, so AI builders can start using compute faster.

▼ NVDA −1.2%
  1. 01What happened
  2. 02Key numbers
@nvidia· 10-21 · 1 min read
LaunchNumbers checked№ 0009

Mistral and NVIDIA Team Up to Bring AI Into Industrial Engineering Design Rooms

Engineers spend a lot of time on simulation and chip design. This partnership aims to have AI help directly, which affects the people who actually build things.

▼ NVDA −1.2%
  1. 01What Happened
  2. 02In short
@MistralAI· 10-21 · 1 min read
BusinessNumbers checked№ 0008

DeepSeek Processes 155 trillion tokens a Day and Earns $38 per GPU Hour

Until now, outsiders could mostly only guess whether AI services make money. DeepSeek has published its own revenue figures, so anyone can run the numbers with real data.

  1. 01What happened
  2. 02Key numbers
@Yuchenj_UW· 10-21 · 1 min read
BusinessNumbers checked№ 0005

DeepSeek Orders 160,000 Huawei Ascend 950DT, but Delivery Could Take More Than a Year

The order is not the problem. Capacity for high-end memory and similar parts is the bottleneck, so this large order can only be delivered slowly.

  1. 01What happened
  2. 02Key numbers
Chokepoint research· 10-19 · 1 min read
BusinessNumbers checked№ 0003

$AVAV signs three MOUs in one week, but the press release has no amounts, and the stock fell about 5% on October 14

A cooperation memorandum sounds exciting, but it has no amount and no binding force, so it is still far from a real order.

▼ AVAV −0.6%
  1. 01What happened
  2. 02Key numbers
Chokepoint research· 10-19 · 1 min read
Deep diveNumbers checked№ 0002

$KTOS Announced Awards "More Than $100 Million," but No Matching Filing Shows Up

A number only counts toward expectations once it can be matched to official filings. Otherwise, it is just news.

▼ KTOS −0.3%
  1. 01What Happened
  2. 02Key Numbers
Chokepoint research· 10-20 · 1 min read
BusinessNumbers checked№ 0001

$KTOS Gains One More Analyst, but Average Price Target Falls from $99.57 to $98.33

An analyst's price target shows their view of the stock, and this time more analysts issued one while the average target went down, so it is worth a closer look.

▼ KTOS −0.3%
  1. 01What happened
  2. 02Key numbers
Chokepoint research· 10-20 · 1 min read

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